IPL 2015 Statistical Possibilities on 05-16

-
As we sit in comfort in our homes on a very hot May Saturday afternoon, we have last 4 league matches of IPL 2015 lined up. Apart from DD and KXIP remaining 6 teams have chance to make it to next stage.

 This post discusses various probabilities of teams' future based on results of remaining 4 games.

Current Points Table (Each team has played 13 matches)

CSK 16
RCB 15 
KKR 15 
SRH 14 
MI 14 
RR 14 
DD 10 
KXIP 6

Matches coming up over weekend
CSK Vs KXIP
RR  Vs KKR
RCB Vs DD
SRH Vs MI

For the time being eliminate Wash out in any of the matches.  So we have 16 possibilities for winners

1> CSK RR RCB SRH
2> CSK RR RCB MI
3> CSK RR DD SRH
4> CSK RR DD MI
5> CSK KKR RCB SRH
6> CSK KKR RCB MI
7> CSK KKR DD SRH
8> CSK KKR DD MI
9> KXIP RR RCB SRH
10> KXIP RR RCB MI
11> KXIP RR DD SRH
12> KXIP RR DD MI
13> KXIP KKR RCB SRH
14> KXIP KKR RCB MI
15> KXIP KKR DD SRH
16> KXIP KKR DD MI

For each combination, this is how points table will stand after 4 matches

1> CSK RR RCB SRH
Point Table
CSK 18 RCB 17 KKR 15 SRH 16 MI 14 RR 16 DD 10 KXIP 6
Teams Qualifying - CSK, RCB, SRH, KKR

2> CSK RR RCB MI
CSK 18 RCB 17 KKR 15 SRH 14 MI 16 RR 16 DD 10 KXIP 6
Teams Qualifying - CSK, RCB, MI, KKR (RR will not qualify since they have lesser number of wins)

3> CSK RR DD SRH
CSK 18 RCB 15 KKR 15 SRH 16 MI 14 RR 16 DD 12 KXIP 6
Teams Qualifying - CSK, SRH, RR, Forth position between KKR and RR based on NRR

4> CSK RR DD MI
CSK 18 RCB 15 KKR 15 SRH 14 MI 16 RR 16 DD 12 KXIP 6
Teams Qualifying - CSK, MI, RR, Forth position between KKR and RR based on NRR

5> CSK KKR RCB SRH
CSK 18 RCB 17 KKR 17 SRH 16 MI 14 RR 14 DD 10 KXIP 6
Teams Qualifying - CSK, RCB, KKR, SRH

6> CSK KKR RCB MI
CSK 18 RCB 17 KKR 17 SRH 14 MI 16 RR 14 DD 10 KXIP 6
Teams Qualifying - CSK, RCB, KKR, MI

7> CSK KKR DD SRH
CSK 18 RCB 15 KKR 17 SRH 16 MI 14 RR 14 DD 12 KXIP 6
Teams Qualifying - CSK, KKR, SRH, RCB

8> CSK KKR DD MI
CSK 18 RCB 15 KKR 17 SRH 14 MI 16 RR 14 DD 12 KXIP 6
Teams Qualifying - CSK, KKR, MI, RCB

9> KXIP RR RCB SRH
CSK 16 RCB 17 KKR 15 SRH 16 MI 14 RR 16 DD 10 KXIP 8
Teams Qualifying - RCB, CSK, SRH, RR

10> KXIP RR RCB MI
CSK 16 RCB 17 KKR 15 SRH 14 MI 16 RR 16 DD 10 KXIP 8
Teams Qualifying - RCB, CSK, MI, RR

11> KXIP RR DD SRH
CSK 16 RCB 15 KKR 15 SRH 16 MI 14 RR 16 DD 12 KXIP 8
Teams Qualifying - CSK, SRH, RR, Forth position between KKR and RCB based on NRR

12> KXIP RR DD MI
CSK 16 RCB 15 KKR 15 SRH 14 MI 16 RR 16 DD 12 KXIP 8
Teams Qualifying - CSK, MI, RR, Forth position between KKR and RCB based on NRR

13> KXIP KKR RCB SRH
CSK 16 RCB 17 KKR 17 SRH 16 MI 14 RR 14 DD 10 KXIP 8
Teams Qualifying - RCB, KKR, CSK, SRH

14> KXIP KKR RCB MI
CSK 16 RCB 17 KKR 17 SRH 14 MI 16 RR 14 DD 10 KXIP 8
Teams Qualifying - RCB, KKR, CSK, MI

15> KXIP KKR DD SRH
CSK 16 RCB 15 KKR 17 SRH 16 MI 14 RR 14 DD 12 KXIP 8
Teams Qualifying - KKR, CSK, SRH, RCB

16> KXIP KKR DD MI
CSK 16 RCB 15 KKR 17 SRH 14 MI 16 RR 14 DD 12 KXIP 8
Teams Qualifying - KKR, CSK, MI, RCB     

 So CSK has qualified for final four irrespective of the outcome their match against KXIP. But winning this match will enable them to finish in top 2.

 Match between MI and SRH is knockout game with winner moving ahead. All is not lost for RCB and KKR even if they lose their last match, they still will stand mathematical chance of making it to next stage.

 After 4 p.m. match on 5/16, 8 of the above possibilities will be eliminated. After 8 P.M. match on 5/16, 4 more possibilities will be eliminated.
After 4 p.m. match on on 5/17 on 2 possibilities will be remaining!!!

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Emotional Quotient

-
Image
After a certain point in life, the significance of wealth and IQ no longer remain in the forefront. With few honourable exceptions, the chances of achieving something spectacular at this age begin to diminish. Around the age of forty-five or fifty, the realisation that the period of prosperity is waning starts to settle in the mind. This marks the beginning of a internal struggle to revisit and reassess our lives and our surrounding circumstances from a different perspective. Here are some points related to this phase: Increased Responsibilities : Both professional and personal responsibilities tend to increase during this time. Believing that we can manage everything solely through our intelligence and wealth can be a misconception. Therefore, it’s essential to stay connected with others. Striking a balance between our principles and the need to maintain social relationships is crucial. Excessive compromise of principles made to maintain social life can be a disturbing factor for a se...
Read more

A lost comb, Baking Bowl and A Proud City!

-
Image
Memories of India's Cricket World Cup debacle in1992 and 1999 editions continue to haunt me. India's campaigns in those two editions were like a nightmare.  2007 World Cup was more horrible but at least it got over even before we realised that something horrible was happening.  6 week long World Cups can be a nightmare for a team in alien conditions and specially when things start falling apart for them. You need to have either a true leader who can pull you out of a rut or a closely knit team who would stand for each other. India lacked both these factors in those editions.  Yesterday watching English team fall apart into last 15 over of the South African batting inning and for whatever period they batted was really painful. It is not that I am English cricket fan but for the reason that when you sit in a baking bowl at 37.5 degree Celsius with high prices tickets, where only option available to you are soft drink and samosas at an exorbitant price then you believe that ...
Read more

2024 - Europe Trip - Part 3 - London

-
Image
After landing at London's Heathrow airport, old memories were awakened. I landed at Heathrow Airport for the first time in 2000 on a foreign tour. As it was evening at that time, the airport was crowded. But now, as it was night time, we did not feel that we were at one of the busiest airports in the world. Considering the interest of the environment, this airport is closed for five-six hours at night like some other airports in Europe. When it comes to our country, our airports are the busiest at night. Of course, this may be a convenient time to go from Europe to America.     As for immigration, there was not a huge queue. It was an overall case of Atul ahead and Veena World passengers behind. There were a total of 43 people on our trip. 13 of them were to join us at a hotel in London. So there should be 30 people in this queue. There were several officials to control the immigration queue. As Atul got his number, he told the officials that all the following men had com...
Read more